Longin and Pagliardi: Tail relation between return and volume in the US stock market

Research paper by Longin and Pagliardi: Tail relation between return and volume in the US stock market: an analysis based on extreme value theory

Just to let you know about the new version of my paper with Giovanni Pagliardi (PhD Program at ESSEC Business School): Tail relation between return and volume in the US stock market: an analysis based on extreme value theory.

Using daily data of the S&P 500 index from 1950 to 2015, we investigate the relation between return and transaction volume in the statistical distribution tails associated with booms and crashes in the US stock market. We use extreme value theory (peaks-over-threshold method) to study the extreme dependence between the two variables. We show that the extreme correlation between return and volume decreases as we consider larger events in both the left and right distribution tails. From an economic viewpoint, this paper contributes to a better understanding of the activity of market participants during extreme events. Our empirical result is consistent with the economic explanation by Gennotte and Leland (1990) of extreme price movements based on misinterpretation of trades by market participants.

Tail relation between return volume in the US stock market

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Video about ESSEC Conference poster

Watch this great video about the conference poster! By Pauline Delécaut, the event manager of the conference.

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New website for ESSEC Conference on Extreme Events in Finance!

This new website for ESSEC Conference on Extreme Events in Finance offers you a user-friendly interface with the possibility to post comments and to share the website content on social networks (Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn).

Conference poster

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